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Assist Punt Strategy 2022 – Pre Draft Notes

Only viable in 9-CAT due to the basis of the strategy is winning turnovers

 

More impactful in Yahoo leagues where the standard settings require two centers

(PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C, UTIL, UTIL)

 

This creates scarcity in an already thin/ injury-prone position, leaving other managers into starting weaker options in the second C slot.

 

Stacking strong FT% C early forces the rest of the league into FT% killing players like Gobert/ Poeltl/ Capela/ Robinson to compensate.

 

Potentially influencing managers into FT% punt builds making it that much easier to stack other categories while sacrificing FT%.

 

Stacking blocks also forces other managers to stream blocks off the waiver wire. Available options have several limitations in other areas.

 

Most of the time they are two-category specialists, with a poor FT% and at times limited rebounding, offering only FG% with no steals.

 

PF/ C (C)

Once Jokic is off the board an argument could be made for Embiid, Towns, Tatum, or Durant (Tatum/ Durant carry less injury risk).

 

Towns ADP ranges from 2nd overall to the late first/ Davis has a larger range spanning the late first to the mid-second round.

 

All three offer a rare combination of 3s/ FT%/ RB/ BLK with strong FT% on high volume, creating a strong floor to sacrifice on C later.

 

Davis is too risky at 3, Tatum/ Durant make for strong selections offering similar production aside from RB/ BLK, with less injury risk.

 

Embiid (68, 51, 51, 64) GP last 4 seasons, plan to miss 10-15 G (easier to manage with  IL+) highest FT volume of three, almost 10 per game.

 

Towns (74, 50, 35, 77) GP last 4 seasons, shifts to PF with the arrival of Gobert the added eligibility in Yahoo adds some useful flexibility. FG%/ RB possibly suffer but 3pg should increase, blocks hopefully remain stable in a different role supporting Gobert. 

 

Davis (40, 36, 62, 56) GP last 4 seasons, FT shooting and 3pt attempts have dropped off recently but has a very strong track record in both categories. Reportedly last season dealt with a shoulder injury that negatively impacted his shot.

 

Middle-round PF/C options with similar skill sets:

Porzingis (4th-5th), Turner (5th-6th), Collins (6th-7th), Jackson Jr. (IR stash)

 

Much like Embiid, Towns and Davis, come with injury risk and lengthy injury histories, making them easier to manage in IL+ leagues

 

Jaren Jackson Jr. is a very risky pick, missing anywhere from 4-6 months after right foot surgery (June 30th). Memphis is known for unreliable injury timetables and a general lack of reporting news/ rehab updates.

 

Poor FT% middle-round PF/C (C) options:

Mobley C (4th-5th), Allen C (5th-6th), Wood PF/C (6th-7th), Williams C (8th-9th)

 

Detrimental to FT% but balance the lack of FG%/ RB/ BLK from SG/SF taken in the earlier rounds and come with very strong FG%/ low TO

 

Robert Williams like JJJ is dealing with major surgery and a lengthy absence. Williams isn’t expected to return until December at the earliest

 

SG/ SF

High-assist players most of the time are point guards with high TO rates. They tend to also carry a weaker FG% (under 45%) due to shooting a high volume of threes. Avoiding early-round high-assist point guards leads to an advantage in turnovers, making the negative impact from streaming less impactful. Most standard leagues allow for 3-5 adds per week, we utilize these to stream SG/ SF with strong 3pg/ FT%/ STL.

 

Try to draft one from each Tier or 3 total from all three Tiers. Fill SG, G and SF slots with some SG depth, while balancing the roster construction from PF/C stack.

 

Tier 1: early 2nd – 3rd round ADP

Edwards, Booker, Beal

 

Tier 2: early 4th – 5th round ADP

Leonard, LaVine, Brown, Bane, Bridges

 

Tier 3: early 5th – 6th round ADP 

Anunoby, Green (SG), Vassell, Thompson

 

(Kawhi – Powell stack) Leonard/ George likely rest b2bs on top of regular rest and will also stagger rest and Powell’s usage will increase drastically in those games. Hopefully in 6th man role while both playing so higher usage and a stable floor in normal LAC lineups.

Powell is also a strong source of FG% and above avg RB from the position, low TO rate (10th round ADP)

 

PG/ SG

In the past, my rosters were built around a single middle-round point guard selection like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. They were less successful compared to when I waited on the position.

 

SGA’s issues were mainly due to the state of the team, OKC regularly benched starters in the fourth quarter due to blowouts. The Thunder also tanking for better lottery odds, shut SGA down during the fantasy playoffs.

 

In response to those issues, I decided to wait on the position and target later-round options like Desmond Bane (MEM) and Seth Curry (PHI/ BKN).

 

PG/ SG eligible players who played SG, next to ball-dominant point guards in Ja Morant (MEM), Maxey/ Harden (PHI)/ Irving (BKN).

 

Bane was very efficient as a rookie and I hoped his role/ usage would expand in his second season. A long-term injury to usage hog Dillon Brooks allowed Bane to break out to an even larger degree than I anticipated.

29:48
6.7/14.5
.461
1.8/2.0
.903
3.0
18.2
4.4
2.7
1.2
0.4
1.5

 

Curry had been a reliable source of threes on solid efficiency FG% (46.7, 49.5, 45.6 from 2020-21 to 2018-19), 89.6, 82.5, 84.6 FT% over that same period of time. While his impact was not as significant as Bane’s, Curry contributed heavily in threes with a very low TO rate. Steals were somewhat limited barely reaching 1 per game but given the draft cost was very impactful.

33:18
5.6/11.5
.487
1.3/1.5
.872
2.5
15.0
3.1
3.6
0.8
0.2
1.7

 

This season while I have thought about spending a mid-round selection on Maxey (5th-round ADP). A point guard-eligible player who should play off the ball next to Harden.

 

I am instead planning to target Gary Trent Jr. later in the middle rounds or slightly later-round options like Hyland, Simons and Melton.

Trent Jr. in his first full season as a starter in TOR was a strong source of threes and especially steals – finishing 4th behind D. Murray, Lamelo Ball, Smart, and ahead of Haliburton. This season in Yahoo leagues he now has PG/SG eligibility instead of his career norm at SG/SF. His role is still a little murky, chance starts or 6th man role. A starting role might be better for efficiency playing off the ball next to VanVleet, 6th man role should lead to higher usage.

 

Hyland – Murray

Simons – Lillard

Curry – Irving

Melton SG when Maxey at PG in 2nd unit

 

Later round PF/C targets – UTIL options

PJ Washington – CHA – PF/C

After playing an increased amount of C last season, Washington will move to his more natural position at PF due to the absence of Miles Bridges. The departure opens a large amount of usage, paired with the fact that Gordon Hayward another usage-heavy player rarely stays healthy. On one of the better teams that combine a high pace of play and poor defensive efficiency, leading to high-scoring shootouts.

 

Ivica Zubac – LAC – C

(18:25, 22:21, 24:22) mpg steadily increasing each season and the departure of Ilbaka/ Hartenstein could allow him to play closer to 30 mpg. An elite source of FG% and a solid FT shooter. Playing time in certain matchups might be limited as LAC like to go small with Mann, Covington at C. Despite unreliable playing time has displayed a strong floor and per min upside, safe to expect 10/10/ blk per game. 

 

Bobby Portis – MIL – PF/C

5th rounder before Lopez returned (13 G), mins and usage decreased – forced to the 2nd unit, mins dropped from 29 to 26:59 in March and then 24:50 in April. But Lopez is entering his age 34 season with a history of back issues.

 

Mo Bamba – ORL – C

(47, 62, 46, 71) GP last 4 seasons, (67.4 .5 ftm/ .7 fta, 68.2 1 ftm/1.4 fta, 78.1 .8 ftm/ 1 fta) poor FT but on low volume, went from 14-16 mpg to 25:41 – addition of Banchero, return of Isaac on top of Carter Jr./ Okeke min/ usage limited but showed can be productive regardless. His combination of 3/ BLK per game volume is rare and has several outs to increased usage. 

 

 

Later round SF/ PF targets – UTIL options

Jabari Smith – HOU – PF

Shot 42% from three in college but might regress given the distance increase, FG% possible issue given the lack of a post-game. Based on the lack of rebounding, his value will depend heavily on defensive production and FT%. 

 

L. Markkanen – UTA – SF/ PF

(61, 51, 50, 52) GP last 4 seasons with shutdown risk. Usage/ volume could be massive with the departure of Mitchell/ Gobert/ Bojan, Conley and Clarkson could also be moved. 

 

Herbert Jones – NO – SF/PF

Elite source of defensive stats, strong %s and an extremely low TO rate but offensive production is likely very limited. Fills the SF slot and provides depth and flexibility between SG and PF.

 

Jaden McDaniels – MIN – SF/PF

23:59, 25:45 mpg first two seasons, departure of Vanderbilt, Beverley in Gobert deal should open up SF mins but PF likely blocked by KAT (per 36 1.6, 12.9, 6, 1, 1.1, 1.5), FT could be issue 60/ 80 0.7/ 1 atm (76 in college)

 

Examples of potential builds and roster construction from different draft slots

Embiid build from 2nd slot

PG: Trent Jr., SG: LaVine, G: Bane, SF: Wagner, PF: Embiid, F: Davis, C: Siakam, C: Williams, UTIL: Washington, UTIL: Powell

1. Joel Embiid (PHI – PF,C)
2. Anthony Davis (LAL – PF,C)
3. Pascal Siakam (TOR – PF,C)
4. Zach LaVine (CHI – SG,SF)
5. Desmond Bane (MEM – SG,SF)
6. Franz Wagner (ORL – SF,PF)
7. Robert Williams (BOS – C)
8. Gary Trent Jr. (TOR – PG,SG)
9. PJ Washington (CHA – PF,C)
10. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
11. Jaden McDaniels (MIN – SF,PF)
12. Jalen Smith (IND – PF,C)
13. Bennedict Mathurin (IND – SG,SF)

 

Towns build from 3rd slot

PG: Hyland, SG: Leonard, G: Green, SF: Bane, PF: Towns, F: Porzingis, C: Siakam C: Williams, UTIL: Zubac, UTIL: Portis

1. Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN – PF,C)
2. Kawhi Leonard (LAC – SG,SF)
3. Pascal Siakam (TOR – PF,C)
4. Kristaps Porzingis (WAS – PF,C)
5. Desmond Bane (MEM – SG,SF)
6. Jalen Green (HOU – SG)
7. Robert Williams (BOS – C)
8. Ivica Zubac (LAC – C)
9. Bobby Portis (MIL – PF,C)
10. Bones Hyland (DEN – PG,SG)
11. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
12. Cameron Johnson (PHX – SF,PF)
13. Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM – PF,C)

Towns build from 6th slot

PG: Melton, SG: Leonard, G: Green, SF: Bane, PF: Towns, F: Porzingis, C: Collins, C: Williams, UTIL: Powell, UTIL: Smith II

1. Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN – PF,C)
2. Kawhi Leonard (LAC – SG,SF)
3. Kristaps Porzingis (WAS – PF,C)
4. Desmond Bane (MEM – SG,SF)
5. John Collins (ATL – PF,C)
6. Jalen Green (HOU – SG)
7. Robert Williams (BOS – C)
8. De’Anthony Melton (PHI – PG,SG)
9. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
10. Jabari Smith II (HOU – PF)
11. Bones Hyland (DEN – PG,SG)
12. Jalen Smith (IND – PF,C)
13. Tari Eason (HOU – SF,PF)

 

Tatum build from 4th slot

PG: Trent Jr., SG: Leonard, G: Bane,  SF: Tatum, PF: Porzingis , F: Wagner, C: Adebayo, C: Zubac, UTIL: Portis,  UTIL: Powell

1. Jayson Tatum (BOS – SF,PF)
2. Bam Adebayo (MIA – C)
3. Kawhi Leonard (LAC – SG,SF)
4. Kristaps Porzingis (WAS – PF,C)
5. Desmond Bane (MEM – SG,SF)
6. Franz Wagner (ORL – SF,PF)
7. Gary Trent Jr. (TOR – PG,SG)
8. Ivica Zubac (LAC – C)
9. Bobby Portis (MIL – PF,C)
10. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
11. Jaden McDaniels (MIN – SF,PF)
12. Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL – SG,SF)
13. Patrick Williams (CHI – PF)

 

Durant from 5th slot

PG: Trent Jr.,  SG: Leonard,  G: Bridges, SF: Wagner, PF: Durant, F: Washington, C: Adebayo, C: Ayton, UTIL: Powell, UTIL: McDaniels

1. Kevin Durant (BKN – SF, PF)
2. Bam Adebayo (MIA – C)
3. Kawhi Leonard (LAC – SG, SF)
4. Deandre Ayton (PHX – C)
5. Mikal Bridges (PHX – SG,SF)
6. Franz Wagner (ORL – SF,PF)
7. Robert Williams (BOS – C)
8. Gary Trent Jr. (TOR – PG,SG)
9. PJ Washington (CHA – PF,C)
10. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
11. Jaden McDaniels (MIN – SF,PF)
12. Bennedict Mathurin (IND – SG,SF)
13. Patrick Williams (CHI – PF

 

Davis build from 6th slot

PG: Trent Jr., SG: Edwards, G: Green, SF: Bane, PF: Davis, F: Siakam, C: Valanciunas, C: Williams, UTIL: Portis, UTIL: Powell

1. Anthony Davis (LAL – PF,C)
2. Anthony Edwards (MIN – SG,SF)
3. Pascal Siakam (TOR – PF,C)
4. Desmond Bane (MEM – SG,SF)
5. Jonas Valanciunas (NOP – C)
6. Jalen Green (HOU – SG)
7. Robert Williams (BOS – C)
8. Gary Trent Jr. (TOR – PG,SG)
9. Bobby Portis (MIL – PF,C)
10. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
11. Jaden McDaniels (MIN – SF,PF)
12. Bennedict Mathurin (IND – SG,SF)
13. Isaiah Jackson (IND – PF,C)

 

Davis build from 12th slot

PG: Trent Jr., SG: Edwards, G: Green, SF: Vassell, PF: Davis, F: Turner, C: Allen, C: Collins UTIL: Powell,  UTIL: Bamba

1. Anthony Davis (LAL – PF,C)
2. Anthony Edwards (MIN – SG,SF)
3. Myles Turner (IND – C)
4. Jarrett Allen (CLE – C)
5. John Collins (ATL – PF,C)
6. Jalen Green (HOU – SG)
7. Devin Vassell (SAS – SG,SF)
8. Gary Trent Jr. (TOR – PG,SG)
9. Norman Powell (LAC – SG,SF)
10. Mo Bamba (ORL – C)
11. Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL – SG,SF)
12. Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM – PF,C)
13. Jonathan Kuminga (GSW – PF,C)

 

 

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