Lucas Giolito – CWS – LHP (31%) @ KC
Season Stats (28 GS) 10 W, 5.85 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 114 K/ 79 BB in 152 IP
Giolito has had a huge bump in his K rate in the second half, with more than a K per inning. His fastball velocity has gotten bumped almost 4-5 mph from the beginning of the season, a huge difference maker for the lefty. He has still had his bumps in the road, but he benefits on Monday from a favorable matchup. Last time out against the Royals, he tossed 6 plus innings of shutout ball. He should provide good Ks, decent ratios and a good chance of a win.
(The Royals rank 13th in the league with a .254 AVG and 23rd in the league with a .714 OPS at home this season. They also rank 24th in the league with a .234 AVG and 29th in the league with a .653 OPS vs LHP).
Stream in standard leagues
Mike Minor – TEX – LHP (25%) @ LAA
Season Stats (25 GS) 11 W, 4.31 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 118 K/ 32 BB in 140 IP
In the second half, Minor has stepped up, improving his strikeout rate and walk rate, good for a 2.88 ERA. Some regression will come, as he pitches to contact with a slightly below average K rate, and he has stranded more than 85% of second half batters. Still, he is holding opponents to an OBP of .219, so there really haven’t been all too many runners to strand in the first place. He should provide decent Ks, good ratios and a good chance of the win.
(The Angels rank 24th in the league with a .242 AVG and 15th in the league with a .735 OPS at home this season. They also rank 30th in the league with a .227 AVG and 26th in the league with a .669 OPS vs LHP).
Stream in deeper leagues
Joe Musgrove – PIT – RHP (28%) @ STL
Season Stats (17 GS) 6 W, 3.75 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 88 K/ 21 BB in 103 IP
After getting roughed up over a couple of starts, Musgrove righted the ship with 8 strikeouts over 6 innings with 0 walks against the Reds. In the second half he has drawn a 3.40 ERA with less than a walk per 9. He doesn’t have overwhelming stuff that will blow by a ton of batters for strikeouts, but he also commands the zone well, and obviously doesn’t walk many, helping to limit the damage. Even when the results weren’t the best lately, he has increased his K rate slightly. He should give you good ratios with some Ks and a slight chance of the win.
(The Cardinals rank 21st in the league with a .246 AVG and 26th in the league with a .701 OPS at home this season. They also rank 15th in the league with a .249 AVG and 18th in the league with a .728 OPS vs RHP).
Stream in deeper leagues